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Reading: Dollar outperformance to continue, but run will cool as policy uncertainty fades
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Mycryptopot > Forex > Dollar outperformance to continue, but run will cool as policy uncertainty fades
Forex

Dollar outperformance to continue, but run will cool as policy uncertainty fades

December 17, 2024 2 Min Read
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© Reuters

mycryptopot — The will doubtless proceed to outmuscle its G10 rivals within the months forward, supported by financial power, earlier than turning decrease within the again half of 2025 as buyers reassess the election affect and the Fed delivers extra price cuts, analysts from BofA mentioned in a latest be aware.

“We’re first in search of continued greenback assist for the following a number of months on again of ongoing financial outperformance within the US, as we await additional readability from Washington on a lot of anticipated coverage modifications,” BofA analysts famous. 

The greenback’s trajectory is prone to shift within the latter half of 2025 because the increase from the pricing in a pro-growth economic system below a second Donald Trump administration runs out of highway. “Additional out, nevertheless, we see USD power in the end beginning to reasonable this yr as effectively,” the analysts mentioned.

They count on the greenback to weaken because the market has already priced in expectations for maximalist financial coverage bulletins, whereas many progress implications should not but factored in.

Whereas the “US exceptionalism” narrative has pushed greenback power, there’s scope for normalization as Washington offers extra readability on insurance policies, they added.

The analysts’ name for the greenback to melt relies on a softer touchdown for the U.S. economic system subsequent yr, with situations paving the best way for additional Fed cuts. The analysts count on  this to in the end “jumpstart” a moderation in greenback power through the second half of 2025, after buying and selling near present ranges by mid-year.

 

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Reading: Dollar outperformance to continue, but run will cool as policy uncertainty fades
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