Bitcoin began February 2026 with a ten.1% drop, and now it’s sitting at round $78,700 — which is over $45,000 lower than the cycle excessive. But when CryptoRank’s worth historical past information is something to go by, February won’t be the catastrophe everyone seems to be making ready for. Really, it’s the reverse: Bitcoin did nice in February.
It had among the best common and median good points of any month on file, with a rise of +13.4% and +11.6%, respectively. Solely April and October have higher numbers.
For the previous 12 years, $BTC has had a February achieve 9 occasions out of 13. The outliers — 2020, 2014, 2012 — are uncommon and infrequently linked to large occasions within the economic system. However even then, it’s not uncommon to have a deep January purple adopted by a inexperienced February.
After a weak -0.28% in January, February nonetheless had a +5.64% print in 2018. In 2023, February barely moved at -0.01%, however then March went up by a whopping +23.1%.
Saylor and Technique present method for Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s weekly candle reveals a 9.18% drop proper now, however it’s the retest of the $73,000-$76,000 assist zone that would change the tempo. That is the place Michael Saylor’s Technique has its common buy worth on a loopy 712,647 $BTC stack — so it is just logical to set traps right here. And February’s seasonal stats again that up.
It’s attention-grabbing to notice that 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2021 all had double-digit rallies in February, even after robust circumstances in January. In 2021, February’s development spurted by a whopping 36%, following January’s modest 14.3% uptick. This mirrors the 2025 development, the place the 12 months kicked off with a 9.54% achieve.
The breakdown on Feb. 1 would possibly simply be the shakeout wanted to reframe a textbook bullish setup. If historical past repeats itself, we might see a shift again to $90,000-$98,000 earlier than March.
Though everyone seems to be panicking, February doesn’t play out the identical as January. It not often collapses twice in a row — and when it does not, the snapbacks are violent. Do not let the purple idiot you.
