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Mycryptopot > Regulations > The US tightens surveillance on predictive markets like Polymarket
Regulations

The US tightens surveillance on predictive markets like Polymarket

March 12, 2026 3 Min Read
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The US tightens surveillance on predictive markets like Polymarket
  • They urge platforms to forestall manipulation and adjust to the occasion contracts framework.

  • In parallel, Congress is selling a legislation to ban betting on violence and conflict.

In an effort to protect the integrity of economic markets, the US Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC) introduced measures to control event-based prediction markets.

The CFTC Division of Market Supervision issued an in depth technical advisory to Designated Contract Markets (DCM) on Thursday. The group urges the platforms to strengthen its surveillance mechanisms to forestall market manipulation and guarantee strict compliance with the regulatory framework for occasion contracts.

The company led by Michael Selig emphasised that, given the explosive development in recognition of those platforms, resembling Polymarket, operators should be proactive of their supervisory obligations, making certain that contracts don’t serve as automobiles for illicit actions or disinformation.

In response to Selig, prediction markets are one of the vital thrilling improvements in monetary markets. “But for too lengthy, the CFTC has failed to supply steering for these markets utilized by hundreds of thousands of Individuals,” he commented in an X submit.

The regulator emphasised that the steering for CFTC workers “focuses on reminding exchanges of their present obligations below the fee’s guidelines and rules, and market members typically of the company’s authority relating to insider buying and selling.”

This steering is barely a primary step, and my workers is working diligently on a proper regulation (…) We look ahead to listening to the general public’s feedback. We wish to get it proper and ensure now we have the gold normal for prediction market regulation right here in the US. Prediction markets are right here to remain, and below my management, I’ll shield the company’s jurisdiction over these markets and permit them to thrive in the US.

Michael Selig, chairman of the CFTC.

In parallel with the CFTC’s technical pointers, the US Congress is transferring ahead with the introduction of the DEATH BETS Act. This bicameral laws seeks categorically prohibit betting with cryptocurrencies linked to acts of violence, conflict conflicts and the loss of life of public figures, as reported by CriptoNoticias.

Whereas the CFTC focuses on technical robustness and fraud prevention in occasion contracts (together with sports activities and monetary niches), the legislative department seeks to attract a transparent ethical line on which occasions are appropriate for hypothesis. This double regulatory offensive marks a turning level for the digital asset sector and decentralized predictive markets.

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