The Dogecoin value has been caught in a state of correction and consolidation for the reason that first week of December after a loopy multi-week rally that noticed it peaking slightly below the $0.48 value degree. Current value motion up to now 24 hours and 7 days has been riddled by declines, with the RSI indicator reflecting a corresponding drop.
Crypto analyst Grasp Kenobi lately drew consideration to this notable improvement in Dogecoin’s Relative Power Index (RSI), highlighting its earlier break above 90% and evaluating the present bull market with the patterns noticed throughout DOGE’s 2021 rally.
DOGE RSI Mirrors That Of The 2021 Bull Market
Grasp Kenobi’s latest replace on X outlines a hanging similarity between Dogecoin’s RSI ranges throughout the present cycle and people noticed within the early phases of the 2021 bull market. In each situations, the RSI reached 90, which is way above the 70 threshold of overbought situations. Significantly, the RSI indicator exhibits that the Dogecoin value reached overbought situation in November 2024 however continued to climb till early December.
Apparently, the 2021 rally’s peak was adopted by a big cooldown, with the RSI dropping to 43% and the Dogecoin value plummeting by 55% over a 25-day interval. Moreover, Kenobi highlighted the RSI’s oscillation between two key traces on the 90 and 40 readings throughout the 2021 Dogecoin rally, which is a sample that might repeat itself within the present bull market.
This time round, whereas the RSI has adopted an identical trajectory of reversing after hitting 90 overbought situation, the value motion has been noticeably much less extreme. Over the 35 days for the reason that RSI’s peak, the Dogecoin value has skilled a lesser 28% decline, which suggests it’s now extra stabilized than it was within the earlier bull cycle.

What To Count on For Dogecoin Value?—Key Dates To Watch
Because it stands, the Dogecoin RSI is at present round 43 and appears like it will decline additional to 40. Whereas the 2021 sample doesn’t predict what’s going to occur subsequent, we will have an concept of what might play out subsequent. If the sample have been to repeat itself, we might see the RSI rebounding in direction of the 90 studying not less than two extra instances this cycle.
In an earlier evaluation, Grasp Kenobi identified a narrowing timeframe between key RSI peaks throughout Dogecoin’s market cycles. From 260 days within the first cycle to 240 days within the second, and now 225 days within the ongoing cycle. Moreover, the RSI persistently halts at related ranges, which showcases a level of predictability in its conduct.
Kenobi additionally emphasised that DOGE seems to be barely forward of historic tendencies, and the RSI is holding above its transferring common. This implies that the present bull cycle should still have room for progress, particularly because the trade strikes right into a extra crypto-favorable panorama within the US and different international locations.
Trying forward, crypto analyst Grasp Kenobi highlights January 2, which stands out as a pivotal date to observe for Dogecoin. On the time of writing, the Dogecoin value is buying and selling at $0.362 and is down by 5% and 13.3% up to now 24 hours and 7 days, respectively.
Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com