Ethereum has underperformed Bitcoin throughout most metrics this 12 months, remaining in a technical bear market after declining by 22% from its 2024 highs.
Ethereum (ETH) has dropped to $3,200, hovering close to its lowest degree since December 2024. This decline is attributed to the Ethereum Basis’s continued promoting of its giant ETH holdings and the community dropping market share to competing chains like Tron (TRX) and Solana (SOL).
Nonetheless, a number of elements counsel Ethereum could also be poised for a bullish breakout, probably reaching $5,000 within the coming weeks.
First, Ethereum’s worth traditionally performs effectively in February. Since 2019, Ethereum has posted constructive returns each February. Its common efficiency in February since 2017 has been 17%. Whereas historic developments don’t assure future outcomes, there’s rising optimism that Ethereum may see beneficial properties this February.

Ethereum efficiency by month | Supply: CoinGlass
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Second, knowledge from CoinGlass reveals that Ethereum balances on centralized exchanges have decreased in current days. The full quantity fell to 16.04 million, down from this month’s excessive of 16.09 million. A decline in change balances means that holders are transferring their ETH to self-custody wallets, a bullish sign indicating diminished promote strain.

Ethereum balances on CEX exchanges | Supply: CoinGlass
Extra knowledge reveals that Ethereum whales have continued to build up the coin. 13 whales took Monday’s crash as an indication to build up, an indication that they anticipate it to maintain rising. One distinguished purchaser of Ethereum is Donald Trump’s World Liberty Finance, which now holds ETH value nearly $200 million.
Within the final 24 hours, 13 mega whales, every holding over 10,000 #Ethereum $ETH, have joined the community. This alerts important accumulation exercise! pic.twitter.com/ODIMeCO4Ry
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 28, 2025
Ethereum worth evaluation

ETH worth chart | Supply: crypto.information
The weekly chart reveals that Ethereum has shaped an inverse head and shoulders sample, with the neckline at $4,085. This sample is a well known bullish reversal sign. A confirmed breakout above the neckline may sign additional beneficial properties.
Ethereum has additionally moved to the fourth a part of the Elliot Wave sample. This section is often adopted by the fifth one, which is usually a bullish signal.
The coin can also be supported by the 50-week and 100-week transferring averages. If Ethereum breaks above the inverse H&S neckline at $4,085, it may rally additional, probably reaching the psychological degree of $5,000.
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