XRP is down roughly 62% from its all-time excessive of $3.66, and on the time of writing it sits at round $1.33, nonetheless nicely beneath the degrees most traders have been hoping for only a few months in the past. Plenty of merchants are asking how a lot XRP may nonetheless drop earlier than an actual restoration kicks in, and analyst EGRAG Crypto has a reasonably particular reply: the token could have to fall all the way in which to $0.78 earlier than any severe upsurge can start. That stage additionally occurs to be one of the crucial watched XRP assist ranges proper now, and EGRAG sees it as the inspiration for a possible run towards the XRP ATH and nicely previous it.
How A lot Might XRP Drop and Which Help Ranges Result in ATH
The Weekly EMA That Retains Rejecting XRP
A vital exponential shifting common on the 1-week chart has formed XRP’s value motion for the reason that token collapsed from its 2018 peak. EGRAG Crypto has adopted this stage all through a number of cycles and signifies a development: every time XRP breaks above this particular EMA in a downward development and fails, a sharper transfer downward is the possible end result. The particular EMA is just not publicly disclosed anyplace past his subscriber space, however the development has been of a lot focus amongst merchants monitoring XRP value forecasting patterns nowadays.
Within the present cycle, XRP slipped beneath the EMA again in November 2025. A restoration try in early January 2026 pushed the value as much as $2.41, and for a second it regarded just like the breakout may truly maintain. It didn’t. XRP dropped to a low of $1.15 on February 6 and has solely partially recovered since.
How A lot XRP Might Drop and The place the Key Ground Is
EGRAG’s evaluation suggests a short-term bounce to round $2.20 is feasible from present ranges, however he expects one other leg all the way down to comply with, this time towards $0.78. That stage seems on EGRAG’s chart because the “Binance Lowest Wick,” a horizontal assist that has held as one of many extra vital XRP assist and resistance ranges throughout earlier market cycles. EGRAG additionally sees it because the launchpad for a a lot bigger transfer.
The projected upside from $0.78 is a 1,030% surge to $13, and the historic foundation for that XRP value prediction is definitely fairly strong. After XRP failed an identical EMA retest in This autumn 2018, the token climbed from its lows all the way in which to $1.96 by April 2021, a transfer that additionally measured out to roughly 1,030%. EGRAG believes an identical sample may play out this time round, with $13 as the subsequent main goal after the $0.78 XRP assist stage will get examined.
The XRP ATH and the Street to $200
The XRP ATH of $3.66 is just not the ceiling on this situation. After reaching $13, EGRAG expects a pullback to round $3.36, a stage that strains up with the higher trendline of a symmetrical triangle forming since XRP first began buying and selling. A rebound from there may then carry XRP as excessive as $200, in accordance with the identical evaluation.
How a lot XRP drops within the close to time period and whether or not the $0.78 XRP assist stage holds when it will get there’ll possible decide how a lot of this performs out. The XRP value prediction for $13 and ultimately $200 covers an extended timeframe, and all of it depends upon that ground doing its job. Proper now, the XRP assist and resistance ranges at $0.78 and $3.36 are the 2 numbers that matter most, and a brand new XRP ATH is a great distance away both means.
